Asymmetric Impact of Income and Price on Kerosene Consumption in Cameroon: New Evidence from NARDL

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY SECTOR MANAGEMENT(2024)

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摘要
PurposeThis research paper aims to examine the asymmetric impact of income and price on household consumption of kerosene in Cameroon. Design/methodology/approachThe methodological approach consists of testing for stationarity using the augmented Dickey-Fuller and Andrews and Zivot tests, determining cointegration using nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) test approach and finally examining asymmetry using the Wald test. FindingsResults of the stationarity tests reveal that variables are all integrated of order less than two I(2). The NARDL approach indicates that the (positive and negative) income shock and the positive price boom negatively influence consumption in the long- and short-run. The same is true for the negative price shock, but the latter remains insignificant. Furthermore, the Wald test carried out in the study confirms that the cumulative effects of the positive and negative income and price shocks are asymmetric. Originality/valueThe increase in the price of kerosene due to the lifting of subsidies has led to a decrease in household consumption and an unfortunate increase in the loss of tree cover in Cameroon. According to the results, this phenomenon will persist even if the price is reduced. Actions aimed at reducing its production at the expense of liquefied petroleum gas, electricity and renewable energy should be encouraged to limit the loss of vegetation cover. Thus, this study could contribute to solving the problem of deforestation and desertification in Cameroon.
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关键词
Cameroon,Income,Prices,Households,NARDL model,Kerosene consumption
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